Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.001382 0.001543 0.001705 0.001877 0.002057 0.002237 0.002432
2025-10-05 0.001130 0.001364 0.001604 0.001868 0.002148 0.002435 0.002749
2025-10-12 0.000939 0.001228 0.001532 0.001874 0.002242 0.002625 0.003050
2025-10-19 0.000764 0.001091 0.001446 0.001853 0.002300 0.002770 0.003297
2025-10-26 0.000617 0.000971 0.001369 0.001834 0.002352 0.002903 0.003526
2025-11-02 0.000493 0.000866 0.001299 0.001815 0.002398 0.003025 0.003740
2025-11-09 0.000393 0.000779 0.001243 0.001806 0.002451 0.003150 0.003953
2025-11-16 0.000313 0.000708 0.001198 0.001806 0.002510 0.003279 0.004167
2025-11-23 0.000245 0.000645 0.001159 0.001808 0.002568 0.003404 0.004374
2025-11-30 0.000214 0.000627 0.001174 0.001872 0.002694 0.003604 0.004663
2025-12-07 0.000159 0.000569 0.001133 0.001866 0.002739 0.003709 0.004844
2025-12-14 0.000102 0.000494 0.001065 0.001824 0.002737 0.003761 0.004964
2025-12-21 0.000063 0.000449 0.001049 0.001863 0.002854 0.003971 0.005289
2025-12-28 0.000025 0.000386 0.001005 0.001866 0.002928 0.004135 0.005567
2026-01-04 0.000004 0.000333 0.000969 0.001879 0.003014 0.004313 0.005860
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000272 0.000915 0.001863 0.003064 0.004448 0.006105
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000217 0.000862 0.001847 0.003111 0.004578 0.006343
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000168 0.000811 0.001830 0.003155 0.004703 0.006573
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000129 0.000769 0.001822 0.003208 0.004837 0.006813
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000098 0.000736 0.001823 0.003270 0.004981 0.007062
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000072 0.000705 0.001825 0.003333 0.005124 0.007309
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000065 0.000718 0.001890 0.003473 0.005358 0.007659
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000043 0.000684 0.001884 0.003523 0.005483 0.007884